Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.117255 0.130677 0.144413 0.159483 0.175512 0.192017 0.210258
2024-10-27 0.098009 0.116386 0.135909 0.158065 0.182382 0.208138 0.237362
2024-11-03 0.085604 0.107491 0.131506 0.159533 0.191076 0.225229 0.264755
2024-11-10 0.077263 0.101998 0.129917 0.163288 0.201633 0.243896 0.293580
2024-11-17 0.068211 0.094695 0.125438 0.163035 0.207084 0.256428 0.315259
2024-11-24 0.063156 0.091584 0.125379 0.167502 0.217637 0.274530 0.343114
2024-12-01 0.057164 0.086743 0.122777 0.168550 0.223877 0.287449 0.364893
2024-12-08 0.051194 0.081398 0.119114 0.167932 0.227828 0.297472 0.383155
2024-12-15 0.046619 0.077470 0.116892 0.168792 0.233325 0.309149 0.403239
2024-12-22 0.041831 0.072854 0.113461 0.167861 0.236414 0.317797 0.419639
2024-12-29 0.039238 0.071046 0.113505 0.171181 0.244631 0.332530 0.443238
2025-01-05 0.035837 0.067811 0.111441 0.171615 0.249122 0.342675 0.461312
2025-01-12 0.032353 0.064258 0.108838 0.171320 0.252756 0.351924 0.478562
2025-01-19 0.028803 0.060305 0.105451 0.169800 0.254694 0.359002 0.493142
2025-01-26 0.026532 0.058139 0.104421 0.171317 0.260452 0.370767 0.513434
2025-02-02 0.025163 0.057296 0.105201 0.175233 0.269298 0.386392 0.538501
2025-02-09 0.022744 0.054518 0.103015 0.174963 0.272594 0.395017 0.554945
2025-02-16 0.021830 0.054206 0.104413 0.179631 0.282384 0.411844 0.581581
2025-02-23 0.020086 0.052298 0.103315 0.180724 0.287388 0.422596 0.600689
2025-03-02 0.018078 0.049725 0.101066 0.180077 0.289988 0.430242 0.615905
2025-03-09 0.016585 0.047958 0.099954 0.180976 0.294613 0.440450 0.634329
2025-03-16 0.014825 0.045497 0.097621 0.180003 0.296625 0.447250 0.648448
2025-03-23 0.014088 0.044982 0.098350 0.183473 0.304687 0.461875 0.672466